“Consider a turkey that is fed every day,” Nassim Taleb writes in the famous book Black Swan. “Every single feeding will firm up the bird’s belief that it is the general rule of life to be fed every day by friendly members of the human race…”.
255 402 (123 400 + 59 062 + 1 427 + 5 067 + 66 466)
Great lottery prizes and nice Roxy. That’s all you need to know about my today performance. My total earning for less than 15 full days is more than 2 000 000 Satoshi. To recover VIP purchasing cost I need 374 465 Satoshi more, to reach the conservative monthly 3 000 000 goal – 874 465 Satoshi. Extra will be a nice profit. I withdrew 450 000 Satoshi already.
I still fail to make my laptops do what I want. The best browsers for me so far are Safari and Chrome. But Chrome freezes Zenbook supposed to run dice 24/7 and I don’t want to make dice center from my Macbook. Firefox worked fine under Windows but there were just a few wins. Now I’m testing Opera.
Anyway, the day was weird. Roxy was extremely nice to me for the major part of the day but then switched to ‘feed me’ mode. And I fed her. ~24 000 profit from dice for 17 hours almost turned into a loss in 6 hours.
“On the afternoon of the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, something unexpected will happen to the turkey. It will incur a revision of belief.” Turkey will be cooked. Taleb calls this something unexpected Black Swan. When you dance with Roxy you are hunting Black Swan.
Here’s the famous chart from the famous book.
This is exactly what happened with my dice performance today. And when you wait for the lottery draw. I believe the number of tickets is just a digit. You can win the first prize with 1 ticket and get nothing with 5 000 tickets. After purchasing VIP package I win lotteries often. I run dice 24/7 to collect tickets and I spend lots of time away from the laptops. That’s why I mostly fail to collect data. Here’s what I have. P&L column is my dice net profit or loss for the hour I got a lottery prize. All the prizes more than 100 000 are first ones.
Number of tickets and lottery wins
Do you see patterns? You are either smart or lucky if yes. I see digits. Yes, there’s no win with 50 tickets but I never saw an hour of auto roll 100×10 with 50 tickets in the end. There are bad hours but my worth result so far was 250 tickets. My average number of tickets for 148 visible hours is a bit less than 800. But I honestly don’t care about it.
The lottery is random and I believe in probability. The more rounds I enter, the higher overall win probability. And I believe in palmphun💜 and bestfriendalice❤. They are my dears and my lucky charms. And they help me a lot. So I have no reason to worry. And my goal performance chart looks nice.